Nov 152022
 
Pietro Barabaschi, ITER organization director-general

Pietro Barabaschi, ITER organization director-general

By Steven B. Krivit
November 15, 2022

The ITER organization has revised both its English-language and French-language web sites to more accurately describe the goals of the ITER program, and to remove the misleading claim that the ITER reactor is designed to produce net energy.

The Old Regime

Six years ago, I requested the net energy correction through investigations published in New Energy Times and in my direct communications with ITER leadership, including Bernard Bigot, the former director-general of the ITER organization.

The ITER organization made limited corrections after I published the fact, on Oct. 6, 2017, that the ITER reactor as a whole was designed to consume at least 300 megawatts of electricity rather than 50 megawatts. But Bigot refused to withdraw the misleading energy claims from his organization’s Web site.

Four years later, Bigot falsely claimed during an Oct. 27, 2021, hearing of the French Senate’s Committee on Economic Affairs that the projected power gain for the overall reactor is between three and five times the power it is designed to consume. This claim was untrue because ITER has a projected electrical input of at least 300 MW (more likely 440 MW) and a projected thermal output of 500 MW. Bigot died on May 14, 2022.

The New Regime

On Sept. 14, 2022, the ITER Council appointed Bigot’s successor, Pietro Barabaschi. A month later, the ITER organization published a news story saying that Barabaschi intended to emphasize “collaboration and integrity.”

On Oct. 29, 2022, I wrote to Barabaschi, congratulated him on his appointment, and applauded his intention. I encouraged him to publish accurate and transparent power claims about the reactor.

I told Barabaschi that, in 2018, when members of the European Parliament escalated the matter of misleading power claims to the European Commission, Commissioner Arias Cañete responded, “The IO Web site now states unambivalently that the performance of ITER will be assessed by the so-called fusion Q, i.e., by comparing the thermal power output of the plasma with the thermal power input into the plasma.”  Although Cañete had accurately described how the distinction should be communicated publicly, the ITER organization Web site had not done so.

Barabaschi wrote back to me a day later.

“I can confirm that immediately after my selection, some weeks ago, I asked Laban [Coblentz, the head of ITER communications] and his team to review the messaging on the ITER public Web site. You will see the resulting changes over time,” Barabaschi wrote.

Barabaschi invited me to provide additional comments on his organization’s public messaging. The ITER organization, under Barabaschi’s leadership, has already made corrections to some of its public claims, demonstrating more scientific integrity than I have seen, as a critical observer of this organization, in six years.

The False Net-Energy Claim

The most conspicuous false claim about the ITER project — and it goes back decades — was that the ITER reactor is designed to be the first fusion device in history to create net energy. Other related claims went along with this myth, that the ITER reactor was designed to:

“deliver ten times the power it consumes.”
“demonstrate that it is possible to produce commercial energy from fusion.”
“produce about 500 megawatts of thermal power. If operated continuously and connected to the electric grid, that would translate to about 200 megawatts of electric power, enough for about 200,000 homes.”
“demonstrate magnetic confinement fusion at near power-plant size.”

The ITER organization prominently published the false reactor net-energy claim in the second gallery image on its English-language and French-language Web sites under the heading “AMAZING MACHINE.” On Jan. 12, 2017, the text said that the ITER tokamak was “designed to produce 500 MW of fusion power for 50 MW of input power (a power amplification of 10); it will take its place in history as the first fusion device to create net energy.”

Second gallery image on the ITER organization's Web site home page as of Jan. 12, 2017

Second gallery image on the ITER organization’s Web site home page as of Jan. 12, 2017

After I published “The ITER Power Amplification Myth,” on Oct. 6, 2017, the ITER organization added one word to that text: “heating.” It made the claim a tiny bit more honest.

Second gallery image on the ITER organization's Web site home page as of Nov. 6, 2017

Second gallery image on the ITER organization’s Web site home page as of Nov. 6, 2017

Here’s what the home page said on Oct. 31, 2022: “The primary objective of ITER is to experimentally attain a ‘burning’ plasma, in which the self-heating of the plasma by nuclear fusion reactions dominates all other forms of heating.” Barabaschi’s revision was accurate and unambiguous.

Second gallery image on the ITER organization's Web site home page as of Oct. 31, 2022

Second gallery image on the ITER organization’s Web site home page as of Oct. 31, 2022

Barabaschi also removed the net-energy claim from the “What is ITER?” page. During Bigot’s tenure, the organization had said there that “ITER will be the first fusion device to produce net energy.”

Net-energy claim on the ITER organization's "What is ITER?" page as of April 25, 2017

Net-energy claim on the ITER organization’s “What is ITER?” page as of April 25, 2017

At face value, that was a false claim. However, the organization provided some fine print that effectively made it only misleading rather than outright false. If viewers clicked on the link for “net energy,” a message would pop up attempting to explain what the organization meant by “net energy.” As I explained to Coblentz at the time, the pop-up message implied that the projected energy gain was to be compared with the power required to operate the reactor’s systems (plural). I also explained to Coblentz that the message mixed the terms energy and power.

Pop-up message on the ITER organization's "What is ITER?" page as of Aug. 19, 2017

Pop-up message on the ITER organization’s “What is ITER?” page as of Aug. 19, 2017

After I published “The ITER Power Amplification Myth” on Oct. 6, 2017, the ITER organization continued to indicate in its publications that the reactor would be “the first fusion device to produce net energy.” However, the organization did refine the pop-up message to accurately reflect that the projected power gain was to be compared against the injected thermal power needed to heat the plasma.

Pop-up message on the ITER organization's "What is ITER?" page as of Nov. 6, 2017

Pop-up message on the ITER organization’s “What is ITER?” page as of Nov. 6, 2017

By Oct. 31, 2022, the “What is ITER?” page no longer implied that the reactor was designed to be the first fusion device to produce net energy. The pop-up message was gone. Instead, Barabaschi’s revision was accurate and unambiguous.

Former location of

Former location of “net energy” claim on ITER organization’s “What is ITER?” page as of Oct. 31, 2022

Limited Energy

Another positive change under Barabaschi’s leadership is the ITER organization’s removal of its claim of “UNLIMITED ENERGY” from the first gallery image on the home page of its Web site. As we reported beginning on Oct. 10, 2021, the tritium required for tomorrow’s fusion power plants does not exist. The enriched lithium needed to breed tritium does not exist. A legal, environmentally safe process to enrich tritium does not exist. Even if sufficient quantities of enriched lithium were available, a method to breed tritium in a fusion reactor fast enough does not exist. (See our Fusion Fuel page.)

First gallery image on the ITER organization's Web site home page as of Dec. 21, 2016

First gallery image on the ITER organization’s Web site home page as of Dec. 21, 2016

First gallery image on the ITER organization's Web site home page as of Oct. 31, 2022

First gallery image on the ITER organization’s Web site home page as of Oct. 31, 2022

On the Road to Integrity

After I sent Barabaschi and Coblentz a few other statements on the ITER organization’s Web site that needed correction, Barabaschi wrote back.

“Thanks for your email,” Barabaschi wrote. “Accuracy in communication is an important element of scientific integrity, and important to all of us in the ITER project. With Laban, we welcome constructive criticism from members of the public, and specifically we appreciated very much your feedback.”

 

Oct 192022
 
Artistic rendering of proposed Spherical Tokamak for Energy Production

Artistic rendering of proposed Spherical Tokamak for Energy Production (STEP) “100 MW electric” fusion reactor.

Oct. 19, 2022

The U.K. Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) has claimed a net electrical output for a planned fusion reactor but there is no evidence that BEIS knows the planned input power.

This is the basic calculation for any energy production system: Output power rate minus input power rate equals net power rate.

The chief press officer for BEIS is Safi O’Shea, but the person who responded to our emails refused to give a name. Here is the e-mail conversation between Steven B. Krivit and the BEIS news desk.

Krivit: “What is the rate of electrical power that the STEP reactor is designed to put onto the grid?”

BEIS News Desk: “STEP is a prototype, fully integrated?fusion energy plant capable of supplying electricity to the grid. It will demonstrate the capability to generate 100 MW of electricity and provide the pathway to commercial plants for the future.”

Krivit: “What is the rate of electrical power that the STEP reactor is designed to draw from the grid?”

BEIS News Desk: “We are currently in the concept design phase of the STEP programme, so it’s too early to be completely sure of power needs.”

Without knowledge of the input power rate, BEIS cannot accurately claim that STEP will demonstrate the capability to generate 100 MW of electricity.

Related:
Head of U.K. Fusion Walks Back Claims For Planned $22 Billion Reactor (Oct. 22, 2022)
False Fusion Claims by Ian Chapman, Head of U.K. Fusion  (Nov. 7, 2020)
UK plans first nuclear fusion power plant  (Feb. 21, 2010)

 

Oct 132022
 

By Steven B. Krivit
October 13, 2022

Ryan Hughes has produced an eight-minute video explaining that the required fuel for nuclear fusion doesn’t exist.

Hughes is a doctoral researcher at the Institute for Advanced Automotive Propulsion Systems in Bath, England.

Hughes has been fascinated with nuclear fusion and is enthusiastic about new breakthroughs in fusion research. Here are his opening comments from the video:

Nuclear fusion is often seen as the Holy Grail of clean energy, with the possibility to produce endless power to the world. However, there is a problem with nuclear fusion that doesn’t seem to be discussed as often. In fact, some people even seem to be trying to keep it a secret. This issue is so big [that] it could mean all of the time and money spent on current nuclear fusion research is wasted. As someone who wants fusion to work, [I believe that] it seems better to be transparent and work collectively to solve these challenges rather than pretending they don’t exist.

Steven Krivit, the editor of New Energy Times, broke the news about the fusion fuel problem in 2021 and, three months later, explained to President Biden’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology that the fuel required for commercial nuclear fusion doesn’t exist.

In addition to providing a video-based explainer, Hughes goes further in his video than Krivit on the matter of beryllium and explains why it’s necessary. Beryllium is more toxic than asbestos or hexavalent chromium; however, it seems to be the only material that will work in a fusion reactor, along with enriched lithium, to breed sufficient quantities of tritium.

How Did We Get Here?

How did the world develop such grand expectations about fusion without a source for the required fuel? Watch this video produced by Krivit:

One of the fusion experts is Ian Chapman, the chief executive officer of the United Kingdom Atomic Energy Authority. Several years ago, Chapman told a public audience at the Royal Institution that, to get fuel for a fusion reactor, “we would breed it ourselves, so it would be self-sufficient, so you wouldn’t have to worry about the cost.”

This is wishful thinking. According to a peer-reviewed scientific paper Krivit cited in his article “Without Fuel, the Fusion Game Is Over,” there is no known science or technology to enable fusion reactors to be tritium self-sufficient.

Chapman also told the audience that the UKAEA’s Joint European Torus (JET) fusion reactor produced 16 MW of energy, which he said was a “reasonable amout of energy” but not enough to put on the commercial grid.

Chapman did not seem to understand that, to produce 16 MW of thermal power, the JET reactor consumed 700 MW of electrical power from the grid. Chapman told the audience that “the big problem is that that 16 MW was generated having put 25 MW into the machine.”

Chapman made the same type of mistake when telling the audience about the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER): “Instead of putting in 25 and getting out 16, in the next-step device, we’ll put in 50 and get out 500.”

ITER will actually need 500 MW of electricity to start and at least 400 MW to run. If the input electrical power value is normalized to the output thermal power value so apples are compared with apples, ITER would consume more power than it produces.

 

 

Oct 072022
 

By Steven B. Krivit
October 7, 2022

Ian Chapman, Chief Executive of the United Kingdom Atomic Energy Authority

Ian Chapman, Chief Executive of the United Kingdom Atomic Energy Authority

On Monday, the BBC reported that a planned U.K. fusion power plant would prove the commercial viability of fusion. Yesterday, it ran a second story. The BBC told readers that there was no guarantee that the $22 billion fusion power plant would work.

Monday

On Monday, Oct. 3, BBC journalists Tony Roe and Alex Smith reported that a site had been selected for U.K.’s “first prototype commercial nuclear fusion reactor.” The BBC reported that, according to the United Kingdom Atomic Energy Authority (UKAEA), the fusion power plant would be operational by the early 2040s.

That’s an extraordinary claim considering that no fusion reactor has ever produced enough power to heat a cup of tea, if any such reactor were designed to convert its output to electricity.

The closest any fusion reactor has come to net power production was 25 years ago at the Joint European Torus (JET) in the U.K. With a 700 million Watt electricity input, JET produced a 24 million Watt thermal output from fusion. That experiment took place on Oct. 31, 1997.

Last year, fusion scientists ran new experiments in JET, but it didn’t fare as well, it only reached 10 MW. JET, the most successful fusion reactor in the world, has come only 1% of the way toward breaking even.

Nevertheless, on Monday, Jacob Rees Mogg, the U.K. Secretary of State for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, told the BBC what the fusion power plant will do.

“The plant will be the first of its kind, built by 2040 and capable of putting energy on the grid,” Mogg said. “In doing so, it will prove the commercial viability of fusion energy to the world.”

Ben Bradley, Tory MP for Mansfield and Nottinghamshire County Council leader, told the BBC that he was convinced that U.K. scientists had proven that fusion works.

“We’re going to power the nation again and I can’t wait,” Bradley said. “It’s new technology, we’ve proven that it works and north Nottinghamshire is going to be the hub of research, innovation, commercialising that and selling it to the world.”

Wednesday

On Wednesday, Oct. 6, two other BBC journalists, Rachel Royce & Will Jefford, wrote about the same planned fusion reactor but walked back those extraordinary claims.

“The body behind a £20 billion fusion power station set for the Nottinghamshire countryside says there is ‘no guarantee’ it will work,” the BBC wrote.

In fact, the BBC hadn’t mentioned the £20 billion price tag in the first news story, so that part of the headline also provided new, important information.

Royce and Jefford wrote that “specialists” said there were “challenges” to overcome before the technology is able to power homes.” The writers did not identify those specialists or discuss the “challenges.”

New Energy Times has identified many such specialists and challenges with thermonuclear fusion. We have specifically focused on the power claims and the fuel claims. We also maintain a list of scientists who have published concerns about the challenges of fusion.

In Wednesday’s story, the BBC spoke with Ian Chapman, the Chief Executive Officer of the United Kingdom Atomic Energy Authority. The response from Chapman suggests that the BBC writers had presented him with a list of the challenges it had received from specialists.

Here is Chapman’s response to the BBC:

We have done it as experiments in the lab and we’ve shown that we can make fusion happen and we can control it, but we’ve never done it at the scale where it produces electricity and actually powers your home. This will be the first of its kind and I don’t know that everything will work. For sure we have challenges that we have to overcome and that is the point of the next phase of the programme. There is no guarantee that this will work – this is cutting edge technology.

Chapman has had a long history of making false and exaggerated claims about fusion.

The BBC went back to Bradley and, based on his new responses, told him that specialists had expressed concerns. The BBC summarized Bradley’s new perspective: “Even though the prototype plant may never be completely functional, the project is set to bring thousands of jobs to the area.” They also quoted him directly.

“For us in Nottinghamshire, if it works that’s incredible, but either way we’re going to draw in billions of pounds of investment into this area,” Bradley said. “That is important for jobs, for local opportunities for people here. This part of the world used to power the county and it can do it again.”

Challenges

Aside from never having proven that fusion can produce even a single Watt of useful power, it has other challenges. One is that the tritium fuel for commercial nuclear fusion reactors doesn’t exist. Another is that the enriched lithium-6 needed to make the tritium is not available. Another is that there is no known technology to enrich sufficient quantities of lithium-6 without dumping mercury into the environment. Another is that there is no known way to breed sufficient rates of tritium from lithium-6 to keep a fusion reactor going. Another is that all known materials that might line the inside of a commercial fusion reactor will be destroyed by the fusion neutrons.

Perhaps Chapman didn’t fully explain these challenges to Bradley. Or to the U.K. government when he sold the legislators on funding the concept.

 

 

Oct 052022
 
Lewis G. Larsen (Photo: S.B. Krivit)

Lewis G. Larsen (Photo: S.B. Krivit)

(Reprinted from Oct. 7, 2008)

By Lewis G. Larsen

In our recent preprint, “A Primer for Electro-Weak Induced Low Energy Nuclear Reactions,” we summarized our theoretical work at a less mathematically detailed and more conceptually oriented level. Sometimes, important physics concepts can be obscured by the formalism of complex mathematics that is required to describe rigorously the physical phenomena. This new paper provides a basic conceptual overview of our theory of Low-Energy Nuclear Reactions for a broader range of readers. We hope to entice some of them to take the time necessary to delve into the mathematical details of the collective electroweak physics that are contained in our six underlying papers.

As we have stated many times before, none of our theoretical work on LENRs includes new microscopic physics. What is new about our work is that, for the first time, we extend many-body collective effects to existing electroweak theory within the overall framework of the Standard Model. In seven technical publications, we have developed a foundational theory of LENRs that weaves together all the previously disparate threads of varied experimental evidence into a coherent whole. We have done that using rigorous, established, well-accepted physics.

The Widom-Larsen theory of LENRs provides a foundational understanding of a certain body of anomalous experimental data that has been inexplicable for a hundred years.

We like to think of weak-interaction LENRs as extending the legacy of Enrico Fermi’s seminal mid-1930s work on beta decay, as well as making good on the failed promise of strong interaction nuclear fission—that is, providing a clean, safe, inexpensive source of nuclear energy. In the aftermath of World War II, Fermi’s beloved weak interactions were somewhat neglected by science. They became lost in the turmoil about nuclear weapons and the horrors of nuclear war.

In contrast to the “hot” research areas of fission and fusion, weak interactions became a scientific curiosity: holding theoretical interest with no apparent practical applications. After all, every physicist and chemist simply “knows” that radioactive beta decay rates are mainly low-energy reactions and, being random, cannot be controlled. Such weak interaction processes were universally regarded as useless for power generation applications. In addition, no one had seriously considered the possibility of creating neutrons directly from protons or deuterons through the weak interaction. Researchers just didn’t see any reasonable way to get weak interaction rates high enough to be useful. Well, our theory of LENRs and hundreds of credible experiments now suggest otherwise.

According to our theory, LENRs do not involve any kind of Coulomb barrier-penetrating fusion, deuterium-deuterium or otherwise. In our opinion, they never did. We will not mince words on this: The “cold fusion” community was dead wrong on that theoretical point. However, “cold fusion” experimentalists were dead right about many of their experimental observations. They were correct about LENRs potentially being an important nuclear process that eventually might be harnessed to provide a new type of primary energy source: clean, truly “green” nuclear power.

Scattered around the world, these mostly unsung researchers labored experimentally for 19 years (most of them with little funding), exploring the many complex avenues and treacherous backwaters of the vast LENR parameter space. During that time, they kept the flame alive by doggedly collecting experimental data until a large enough body of knowledge had accumulated for someone to be able to develop a comprehensive theory of the phenomena. The accumulation of all that varied experimental data on LENRs, while little-published in peer-reviewed journals, was crucial to the development of our theory.

The “cold fusion” community can be proud of many of its reported experimental results. When people work on the cutting edge of science, sometimes knowing what doesn’t work experimentally is just as important as understanding what does work; failures can be every bit as instructive as successes. Most of all, good experimental data are crucial for the development of any successful theory; theory and experiment are inextricably and indissolubly linked.

A revolutionary scientific paradigm shift has been brewing slowly over the past 19 years. The world of mainstream science is finally waking up to the possibility that previously neglected weak interactions might provide another new source of nuclear energy. In fact, given their unique characteristics, weak-interaction LENRs could prove to be a vastly cleaner, “greener,” less expensive power generation technology than strong-interaction fission or fusion. In our 2006 European Physical Journal C paper, we showed an example of a LENR-based lithium reaction that generated roughly as much energy as fusion reactions, but without the release of any dangerous energetic neutrons or “hard” gamma radiation. LENRs are better than fusion. That is revolutionary. LENRs gore many long-standing sacred cows and threaten myriad vested scientific and commercial interests.

The “cold fusion” community was not uniquely persecuted by mainstream science. That community was the first major wave of shock troops in the forefront of a scientific revolution involving the weak interaction. As in many military engagements in real-world revolutions, the first troops to hit the beach usually take the biggest casualties because they have the least information about the battlefield and are the easiest targets. This has happened time after time in the history of science, especially in the case of major paradigm shifts. Thomas Kuhn chronicled this in his famous book The Structure of Scientific Revolutions. Revolutions, scientific or otherwise, are rarely bloodless. LENRs are no exception to that rule.

We believe that our collective many-body theory finally has put LENRs on a firm theoretical footing by carefully anchoring them in the solid bedrock of electroweak theory and the Standard Model. The field now needs to attract many more entrants from mainstream science for LENRs to flower fully and reach their scientific and commercial potential.

Lewis Larsen
President and CEO
Lattice Energy LLC


Lewis G. Larsen, 72, died on October 25, 2019

 

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