Jan 052024
 

Jan 5, 2024
By Steven B. Krivit

The first vacuum-vessel sector waiting in the assembly hall, Dec. 2021

The first vacuum-vessel sector waiting in the assembly hall, Dec. 2021. The core of the reactor will be built from nine of these sectors.

Second Anniversary

Two years ago today, French nuclear authorities ordered a halt to assembly of the core of ITER, the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor. Neither the French regulators nor the ITER Organization publicly initially disclosed the shutdown. New Energy Times broke that story on Feb. 21, 2022.

The organization was unable to proceed with assembly of the massive vacuum-vessel sectors because of multiple fabrication and shipping defects. Ancillary construction on the site continued; however, assembly of the reactor core is an essential process of the critical-path for the project.

New Energy Times asked Laban Coblenz, the spokesman for the organization, for the earliest projected date for the installation of the repaired sectors. He did not reply.

Timeline entry posted on ITER Organization's Web site, Dec. 2021

Timeline entry posted on ITER Organization’s Web site, Dec. 2021

When the ITER project was approved by its international partners, the cost was estimated at €5 billion. But that value did not include most of the parts. In 2018, David Kramer of Physics Today broke the story that — as of 2018 — a more realistic estimate for the project was $65 billion (€59 billion).

Dec 282023
 

To all LENR researchers and fans: Please enjoy the video of my ICCF-25 presentation on the Widom-Larsen theory and follow-up discussions. I hope you find my work informative.

PART 1: Introduction
PART 2: Krivit Presentation at ICCF-25
PART 3: Discussion with Konrad Czerski
PART 4: Discussion with Robert Greenyer
PART 5: Discussion with David Nagel
PART 6: Summary

Edmund Storms, the most vociferous critic of the Widom-Larsen theory, did not participate in the conference in-person. If he did participate remotely, he elected not to speak during the available time in the question-and-answer portion. I have addressed his previous statements in this article.

Dec 282023
 

Dec. 29, 2023
By Steven B. Krivit

On Dec. 14, 2023, the United Kingdom Atomic Energy Authority (UKAEA) announced initiatives to research methods for enriching lithium in the lithium-6 isotope. Lithium enrichment at scale would be required to breed the tritium fuel that will be needed for commercial deuterium-tritium fusion reactors.

The UKAEA has funded four universities and one private company to find an effective way to produce the large quantities of enriched lithium that will be required in deuterium-tritium fusion reactors.

Two years ago, New Energy Times broke the story, explaining that, without a viable method to enrich lithium and without a sufficient tritium breeding rate, no fusion future will be possible. At the time, we were not aware of any active research program to develop a replacement for the environmentally hazardous COLEX lithium-enrichment process. The process has been banned in the United States since 1963.

Weapons-Grade Fuel

Fusion advocates like Andrew Holland, the chief executive officer of the Washington, D.C.-based fusion advocacy group Fusion Industry Association, promote the idea of fusion as safe and harmless. In contrast, according to the U.S. National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA), “when used as a target in a nuclear reactor, lithium-6 reacts with a neutron to produce tritium, the most important thermonuclear material for weapons.”

According to the NNSA, from 1954 to 1963 about 442 metric tons of enriched Li-6 were produced at the Y-12 plant in Oak Ridge, Tenn., for nuclear weapons use. NNSA states that it has no further need to enrich additional quantities of Li-6 and needs only to recycle its existing quantities of enriched lithium-6. Construction on a new processing plant — for recycling, not enrichment — broke ground on Oct. 19, 2023. In an Oct. 20, 2023, article in knoxnews.com, Gene Sievers, the Y-12 site manager, confirmed the danger of lithium enrichment.

“We are the nation’s steward of the stockpile of lithium,” Sievers, said. “We don’t go mine and then enrich and then use lithium. We recycle the lithium that we enriched decades ago, and it’s Y-12’s mission to be the careful stewards of that, so we don’t have to go back and engage again in that, what I will just say, chemically hazardous process.”

Dwindling Tritium Stockpile

Earlier this year, the ITER organization explained the gravity of the fusion fuel situation: “Over the course of its scientific program, ITER will acquire and consume the totality of the world’s tritium inventory, which amounts to only a few dozen kilos. Developing solutions to breed large quantities of tritium is therefore a precondition for the development of industrial and commercial fusion reactors.”

The world’s commercial tritium is produced from a small fleet of aging heavy-water nuclear fission reactors. Most are in Canada. After 2060, those reactors will have reached the end of their lifecycle, and Canada does not plan to replace them. The only proven way to produce more tritium is to build more heavy-water fission reactors.

Plenty of Time?

After ITER, most of the seven partners on the international project will pursue their separate research efforts and build their own DEMO reactors. Tony Donné is the program manager for EUROfusion, the organization responsible for designing the EU DEMO reactor. If ITER is ever completed and if it ever performs the deuterium-tritium experiments for which it was designed, there would be no tritium left for any DEMO reactor.

In January 2022, I discussed the lithium issues with Donné and asked him about his planned source for the tons of enriched lithium needed for the EU DEMO reactor. He had none. He confirmed that the enrichment technology does not exist. He hoped that a solution will appear in the next few decades.

“We have enough time until the fusion reactors are rolled out to develop the technology and set up plants to enrich the lithium,” Donné wrote.

But the enriched lithium, if a method is developed to produce it, will be useless without tritium to start a deuterium-tritium fusion reactor.

Magic Wand?

In January 2022, Holland delivered a presentation to President Biden’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology (PCAST). I requested and was granted an opportunity to respond during the meeting. I explained to the president’s science advisor and other members of the Council that the required fuel for fusion does not exist.

After the meeting, Holland submitted a written comment to the Council in response to my presentation. He did not refute a single technical point I had made. Instead, with no supportive evidence, he wrote, “The U.S. will have stable, reliable fuel sources for fusion energy.”

The First Fusion Resource War
Worldwide tritium production as of 2017. Source: Kovari, M. Coleman, I. Cristescu, and R. Smith, “Tritium Resources Available for Fusion Reactors,” (Dec. 21, 2017) Nuclear Fusion, 58 (2)

Worldwide tritium production as of 2017. Source: Kovari, M. Coleman, I. Cristescu, and R. Smith, “Tritium Resources Available for Fusion Reactors,” (Dec. 21, 2017) Nuclear Fusion, 58 (2)

On Oct. 15, 2020, the ITER organization secured an agreement with the government of Canada for the transfer of Canada’s tritium. Has Canada made any agreements to sell tritium to private companies in other countries? Has Argentina? India?

If not and if a method to enrich lithium at the scale needed for nuclear reactors does not exist, then can all the commercial deuterium-tritium fusion reactor claims coming from private companies be anything but a chimera, a delusion, or the world’s biggest technology scam?

 

 

 

 

 

Dec 112023
 

December 11, 2023

Rafael Mariano Grossi, Director-General
International Atomic Energy Agency
Vienna International Centre, PO Box 100
A-1400 Vienna, Austria

Via Fax: +43-1 2600-7 and postal mail

Dear Dr. Grossi,

The IAEA is world-renowned for its objectivity and scientific integrity. This is an essential part of its foundation because of the important and trusted role the IAEA plays to oversee nuclear activities and nuclear safety worldwide.

Therefore, I believe it would be appropriate to make corrections to two IAEA Web pages that are publishing misleading claims about nuclear fusion.

The first Web page is “Fusion – Frequently Asked Questions” at this url: https://www.iaea.org/topics/energy/fusion/faqs

Statement 1: “Its two sources of fuel, hydrogen and lithium, are widely available in many parts of the Earth.”

The two fuel materials needed for most fusion reactors are deuterium and tritium, not hydrogen and lithium. Deuterium is not widely available, but it can be extracted from water, which is widely available. Tritium is not available anywhere on Earth as a natural resource. It is available (outside of military activities) only as a by-product of several aging and soon-to-be decommissioned heavy-water fission reactors.

Designers of DT fusion reactors have known for more than 50 years that tritium is and will not available to provide fuel for fusion reactors. Throughout this time, they have planned to use a secondary (in fact, fission) reaction inside fusion reactors to breed tritium. However, according to the best experts in the field, as published in the IAEA publication Nuclear Fusion, there is no known method to breed tritium in a fusion reactor fast enough. [1]

Moreover, natural lithium will not work in these reactors. Lithium enriched in the Li-6 isotope, ranging from 30% to 90% enrichment, must be used. However, according to the best experts in the field, there is no known legal and environmentally benign method to enrich lithium in the amounts needed for fusion reactors. [2,3]

There are many, many technical challenges that must be solved before fusion can possibly be a viable source of energy. But the fact is, as of now, a) half of the required fuel (tritium) does not exist as a natural resource, b) the required method to enrich lithium-6 does not exist, and c) even it if did, the required method to breed tritium fast enough does not exist. For these reasons, it is most accurate to say that, as of now, the fuel needed for D-T fusion as an energy source does not exist.

Statement 2: “A fusion reactor produces helium, which is an inert gas. It also produces and consumes tritium within the plant in a closed circuit.”

This statement conflates the hopes of fusion scientists with the reality of fusion science. No fusion reactor produces, or has ever produced tritium in a closed circuit. The statement is also contradicted by the known facts about lithium-6 enrichment and tritium breeding, as discussed above.

Statement 3: “When is electricity generated through fusion expected to be available? At present, fusion devices produce more than ten megawatts of fusion power. ITER will be capable of producing 500 megawatts of fusion power. Although this will be on the scale needed for a power station, there are still some technological issues to address before a commercial power plant can operate.”

This is an extremely misleading and deceptive question and answer pair. It misleads the reader to think that a) present fusion devices produce more than ten megawatts of potentially usable power, b) that any fusion device has produced any potentially usable power, and c) that ITER will be capable of producing 500 megawatts of potentially usable power. Yes, this type of language has been normal among fusion scientists. Yes, all fusion scientists know that “fusion power” means only the power balance across the fusion plasma, not across the overall reactor. But the audience for this question-and-answer is not fusion experts.

I have had this conversation with directors of some of the largest fusion research organizations in the world, including the present director-general of the ITER organization. They have agreed that the older language required correction. Please see this Web page: https://news.newenergytimes.net/2020/09/26/correction-log-of-false-misleading-iter-claims

The second Web page is “Basic Fusion Physics” at this url: https://www.iaea.org/topics/energy/fusion/background

Statement 4: “On earth, the potential advantages of energy by controlled nuclear fusion are manifold: Limitless energy production, available all over the world, not subject to local or seasonal variations.”

As explained above, the fuel for fusion does not presently exist. Thus, this statement is entirely false.

Please let me know if you intend to make corrections.

Sincerely,
Steven Krivit
Publisher, New Energy Times

 

REFERENCES

  1. Mohamed Abdou, Marco Riva, Alice Ying, Christian Day, Alberto Loarte, L.R. Baylor, Paul Humrickhouse, Thomas F. Fuerst, and Seungyon Cho, “Physics and Technology Considerations for the Deuterium-Tritium Fuel Cycle and Conditions for Tritium Fuel Self-Sufficiency,” (Nov. 23, 2020) Nuclear Fusion61(1)
  2. Ault, Tim, Brozek, Krzysztof, Fan, Lingchen, Folsom, Micah, Kim, Joshua and Zeismer, Joshua, “Lithium Isotope Enrichment: Feasible Domestic Enrichment Alternatives,” Department of 4. Nuclear Engineering University of California, Berkeley, Report #UCBTH-12-005, May 5, 2012
  3. Giegerich, T., Battes, K., Schwenzer, J.C. and Day, C., “Development Of A Viable Route For Lithium-6 Supply Of Demo And Future Fusion Power Plants,” Fusion Engineering and Design, (149) Dec. 2019, 111339
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