sbkrivit

Mar 172011
 

On March 15, I told New York Times reporters Matt Wald and Bill Broad what questions they needed to be asking and what answers the public needed to know. They were missing important information in their news reports. Specifically, I told them that there was a significant lack of information about any sort of radioactive plume and I asked them to shed light on this matter.

The next day, Broad wrote an article about a a so-called radiation cloud heading East, toward California. I wrote Broad this in response: “You write about it as if you know there is a plume and you have facts about it. Do you really? Or are you assuming a ‘plume’ based on the terrestrial releases? If you have data on an actual ‘plume’, what is it?”

Today, Broad and David E. Sanger have the answers: *****************************************************
SOURCE – New York Times: WASHINGTON — The first readings from American data-collection flights over the stricken Fukushima nuclear plant in Japan show that the worst of the contamination has not spewed beyond the 18-mile range of highest concern established by Japanese authorities, but there is also no indication that another day of frantic efforts to cool nuclear fuel in the reactors and spent fuel ponds has yielded any progress, according [to] United States government officials.

The data was collected in the first use of the Aerial Measurement System, among the most sophisticated devices rushed to Japan by the Obama administration in an effort to help contain a nuclear crisis that the top American nuclear official said Thursday could go on for “possibly weeks.” The data show ground-level fallout of harmful radioactive pollution in the immediate vicinity of the stricken plant — a different standard than the trace amounts of radioactive particles in an atmospheric plume now projected to cover a much broader area.

The sensors on the instrument pod are good at mapping radioactive isotopes, like Cesium-137, which has been detected around the stricken Japanese complex and has a half-life of 30 years. Its radiation can alter cellular function, leading to an increased risk of cancer.

Aircraft normally used to monitor North Korea’s nuclear weapons activities — a Global Hawk drone and U-2 spy planes — were flying missions over the reactor, trying to help the Japanese government map out its response to the quake, the tsunami and now the nuclear disaster.
*****************************************************

Why is this important and why have I been hammering on the Times to get and report information on a “plume” with precision and accuracy?

Three reasons:

1. Talking about a “plume” without facts leaves people either poorly-prepared for a real emergency or in panic over an imaginary emergency.

2. When the general public hears about a nuclear reactor failure, the first thing they envision is a mushroom cloud spewing radioactive particles high into the upper atmosphere. Atomic bombs do this as a natural consequence of their physics; reactor failures, without exceptional circumstances, do not. Perhaps this lack of distinction is the fault of poor education by the nuclear industry.

3. Chernobyl was an exceptional circumstance. At Fukushima, so far and hopefully never, there is no evidence of a massive Chernobyl-style fully exposed and fully enflamed reactor – which did cause enough heat to spew lots of radioactive material in the atmosphere.

http://newenergytimes.com/v2/news/2011/37/37img/Fukushima-18March0900-TEPCO.jpg
Fukushima Plant via TEPCO Webcam. 18 March 0900 local time

Mar 172011
 

Date: Wed, 16 Mar 2011 22:28:44 -0800
To: Matt Wald @nytimes.com Bill Broad @nytimes.com”
From: Steve Krivit @newenergytimes.com>
Subject: What Plume?

Hi Bill,

[Yesterday,] I made a phone call and sent an e-mail to Annika Thunborg, Spokesperson and Chief of Public Information of the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty Organization too. No response.

I read with much dismay that the CTBTO was uncooperative with you as well.

Considering their stated abilities – “The CTBTO monitoring data have proven to be the most reliable and speediest data, with up to three minutes lead-time compared with most data from other sources”  – it really makes me wonder.

Now, as to your recent article: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/17/science/17plume.html?hp

I have very mixed opinions about this. The nut of the article is about a plume of radioactive material. You provide good information on direction and speed.

You write about it as if you know there is a plume and you have facts about it. Do you really? Or are you assuming a “plume” based on the terrestrial releases? If you have data on an actual “plume,” what is it?

You provide absolutely zero information on the contents and concentration of this plume. Perhaps you don’t have this information because the CTBTO didn’t give it to you. Perhaps you tried other sources as well. Still, I cannot figure out why you have either omitted this information or simply stated that you were unable to obtain it.

Talking about “the radioactive plume” – as a fact – without saying what is in it, what its concentration is on departure from the general area is, at what altitudes it has been detected, what its projected concentration will be when it hits North America, is missing a major piece of the story. It leaves people either poorly-prepared for a real emergency or in panic over an imaginary emergency.

Or does the world and our country truly lack the ability to obtain this scientific information?

Steve

Date: Tue, 15 Mar 2011 20:44:23 -0800
To: Matt Wald @nytimes.com Bill Broad @nytimes.com”
From: Steve Krivit @newenergytimes.com>
Subject: What Radiation Cloud?

Matt and Bill,

You guys are providing great information but there is a huge gap between your work and the rumor mill about a so-called radiation cloud heading East.

You cite in your article that agencies plan to take steps “if necessary,” and they are “on two-hour call.”
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/14/world/asia/14plume.html

But many people (particularly in California) think a deadly radiation cloud is already on its way. I don’t think there has been sufficient release or a high-altitude plume to support this speculation. If I’m wrong, I’d sure like to know.

Can you guys try to shed some light on the gap?

Possible questions:
Based on events so far at Fukushima, what is the expected altitude and spread of radioactive particles?
Based on events so far at Fukushima, what has been measured of the altitude and spread of radioactive particles?
Based on predicted weather patterns, where might particulate travel and when would it arrive?
Based on what has been reported to have been released thus far, what would be the expected intensity of radioactive particulate to hit Hawaii or mainland U.S.?

I’m trying my best to help educate the public. This is what I’ve done so far on this.
https://news.newenergytimes.net/2011/03/15/demystifying-nuclear-radiation/

Thanks for what you’re doing,

Steve

Mar 172011
 

2017 PT Update from Prof. Takahashi in Osaka: “At the Fukushima reactor #3 and #4, helicopters started to spray sea water from sky, repeatedly, a few minutes ago. Some of the water hit the right place of reactor #3 which is still ejecting steam.

ORIGINAL POST:
The good news at the Fukushima nuclear facility is that there is no evidence of fires in the fuel storage pools at the moment.

Residents within a 50-mile perimeter, and to some extent, all of Japan, are still in a crisis situation with local radiation risks, on top of the earthquake and tsunami problems. But if the fuel pools are not burning, at least this means the stored fuel is not contributing major emissions to the atmosphere, which then might travel long distances.

Physicist Akito Takahashi reports from Osaka, Japan:

“From TV news, we see there are ejections of mild white steam-clouds from reactors #3 and #4. The steam is thought to be from spent fuel storage pools at or near water-boiling temperature, 100C. They will soon start to feed water into the storage-pools by a special police car of water-jet ejection. Another way to try will be water-spray from sky by helicopters. It looks like there are no fires there now.”

Minimization of airborne radioactive materials certainly will aid containment. The Fukushima site itself will likely be contaminated for a very long time. However, contaminated water used to cool the fuel and plants could end up in local water supplies or the ocean and cause long-term damage.

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